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Extinction Level Events
7 Extinction Level Events That Could End Life as We Know It
by Anne
Marie Helmenstine, Ph.D.
If you've watched the
movies "2012" or "Armageddon" or read "On the
Beach," you know about some of the threats that could end life as we know
it.
The Sun could do
something nasty. A meteor could strike. We could nuke ourselves out of
existence. These are only a few well-known extinction level events. There are
so many more ways to die!
But first, what
exactly is an extinction event?
An extinction level
event or ELE is a catastrophe resulting in the extinction of the majority of
species on the planet.
It's not the normal
extinction of species that occurs every day. It isn't necessarily the
sterilization of all living organisms.
We can identify major
extinction events by examining the deposition and chemical composition of
rocks, the fossil record, and evidence of major events on moons and other
planets.
There are dozens of
phenomena capable of causing widespread extinctions, but they can be grouped
into a few categories:
The Sun Will Kill Us
If a strong solar
flare hit the Earth, the results could be devastating.
Life as we know it
wouldn't exist without the Sun, but let's be honest. The Sun has it out for
planet Earth.
Even if none of the
other catastrophes on this list ever happen, the Sun will end us. Stars like
the Sun burn brighter over time as they fuse hydrogen into helium.
In another billion
years, it will be about 10 percent brighter. While this might not seem
significant, it will cause more water to evaporate.
Water is a greenhouse
gas, so it traps heat in the atmosphere, leading to more evaporation. Sunlight
will break water into hydrogen and oxygen, so it can bleed away into space.
Should any life
survive, it will meet a fiery fate when the Sun enters its red giant phase,
expanding out to the orbit of Mars. It's not likely any life will survive
inside the Sun.
But the Sun can kill
us any old day it wants via a coronal mass ejection (CME). As you can guess
from the name, this is when our favorite star expels charged particles outward
from its corona.
Since a CME can sent
matter any direction, it doesn't usually shoot directly toward Earth. Sometimes
only a tiny fraction of particles reach us, granting us an aurora or a solar
storm. However, it's possible for a CME to barbecue the planet.
The Sun has pals (and
they hate Earth too). A nearby (within 6000 light years) supernova, nova, or
gamma ray burst could irradiate organisms and destroy the ozone layer, leaving
life at the mercy of the Sun's ultraviolet radiation.
Scientists think a
gamma burst or supernova might have led to the End-Ordovician extinction.
Geomagnetic Reversals
May Kill Us
Scientists believe
magnetic pole reversals were involved in some past mass extinctions.
The Earth is a giant
magnet that has a love-hate relationship with life. The magnetic field protects
us from the worst the Sun throws at us.
Every so often, the
positions of the north and south magnetic poles flip. How often the reversals
occur and how long it takes the magnetic field to get settled is highly
variable.
Scientists aren't
completely sure what will happen when the poles flip. Maybe nothing. Or maybe
the weakened magnetic field will expose the Earth to the solar wind, letting
the Sun steal a lot of our oxygen.
You know, that gas
humans breathe. Scientists say magnetic field reversals aren't always
extinction level events. Just sometimes.
The Big Bad Meteor
A big meteor impact
could be an extinction level event.
You may be surprised
to learn the impact of an asteroid or meteor has only been connected with
certainty to one mass extinction, the Cretaceous-Paleogene extinction event.
Other impacts have
been contributing factors to extinctions, but not the primary cause.
The good news is that
NASA claims about 95 percent of comets and asteroids bigger than 1 kilometer in
diameter have been identified.
The other good news
is that scientists estimate an object needs to be about 100 kilometers (60
miles) across to wipe out all life.
The bad news is there
are another 5 percent out there and not much we can do about a significant
threat with our present technology (no, Bruce Willis cannot detonate a nuke and
save us).
Obviously, living
things at ground zero for a meteor strike will die. Many more will die from the
shock wave, earthquakes, tsunamis, and firestorms.
Those that survive
the initial impact would have a hard time finding food, as the debris thrown
into the atmosphere would change the climate, leading to mass extinctions.
You're probably better off at ground zero for this one.
The Sea
A tsunami is
dangerous, but the sea has more lethal tricks.
A day at the beach
might seem idyllic, until you realize the blue part of the marble we call Earth
is deadlier than all of the sharks in its depths. The ocean has various ways of
causing ELEs.
Methane clathrates
(molecules made of water and methane) sometimes break from the continental
shelves, producing a methane eruption called a clathrate gun.
The "gun"
shoots immense amounts of the greenhouse gas methane into the atmosphere. Such
events are linked to the end-Permian extinction and Paleocene-Eocene Thermal
Maximum.
Prolonged sea level
rise or fall also leads to extinctions. Falling sea levels are more insidious,
as exposing the continental shelf kills off innumerable marine species. This,
in turn, upsets the terrestrial ecosystem, leading to an ELE.
Chemical imbalances
in the sea also cause extinction events. When the middle or upper layers of the
ocean become anoxic, a chain reaction of death occurs. The Ordovician-Silurian,
late Devonian, Permian-Triassic, and Triassic-Jurassic extinctions all included
anoxic events.
Sometimes the levels
of essential trace elements (e.g., selenium) fall, leading to mass extinctions.
Sometimes the
sulfate-reducing bacteria in thermal vents get out of control, releasing an
excess of hydrogen sulfide that weakens the ozone layer, exposing life to
lethal UV.
The ocean also
undergoes a periodic overturn in which the high-salinity surface water sinks to
the depths. Anoxic deep water rises, killing surface organisms. The
late-Devonian and Permian-Triassic extinctions are associated oceanic overturn.
The beach doesn't
look so nice now, does it?
And the
"Winner" Is... Volcanoes
Historically, most
extinction level events have been caused by volcanoes.
While falling sea
level has been associated with 12 extinction events, only seven involved a
significant loss of species.
On the other hand,
volcanoes have led to 11 ELEs, all of them significant. The End-Permian,
End-Triassic, and End-Cretaceous extinctions are associated with volcanic
eruptions called flood basalt events.
Volcanoes kill by
releasing dust, sulfur oxides, and carbon dioxide that collapse food chains by
inhibiting photosynthesis, poison the land and sea with acid rain, and produce
global warming.
The next time you
vacation at Yellowstone, take a moment to stop and ponder the implications when
the volcano erupts. At least the volcanoes in Hawaii aren't planet killers.
Global Warming and
Cooling
Runaway global
warming could make Earth more like Venus.
In the end, the
ultimate cause of mass extinctions is global warming or global cooling, usually
caused by one of the other events. Global cooling and glaciation are believed
to have contributed to the End-Ordovician, Permian-Triassic, and Late Devonian
extinctions.
While the temperature
drop killed some species, the sea level fall as water turned to ice had a much
greater effect.
Global warming is a
much more efficient killer. But, the extreme heating of a solar storm or red
giant isn't required.
Sustained heating is
associated with the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, the Triassic-Jurassic
extinction, and the Permian-Triassic extinction.
Mostly the problem
seems to be the way higher temperatures release water, adding the greenhouse
effect to the equation and causing anoxic events in the ocean.
On Earth, these
events have always balanced out over time, yet some scientists believe there is
potential for Earth to go the way of Venus. In such a scenario, global warming
would sterilize the entire planet.
Our Own Worst Enemy
Global nuclear war
would irradiate the planet and likely lead to either nuclear summer or nuclear
winter.
Humanity has plenty
of options at its disposal, should we decide it's taking too long for the
meteor to strike or the volcano to erupt.
We're capable of
causing an ELE via a global nuclear war, climate change caused by our
activities, or by killing enough other species to cause a collapse of the
ecosystem.
The insidious thing
about extinction events is that they tend to be gradual, often leading to a
domino effect in which one event stresses one or more species, leading to
another event that destroys many more.
Thus, any cascade of
death typically involves multiple killers on this list.
Key Points
Extinction level
events or ELEs are calamities that result in the annihilation of most species
on the planet.
Scientists can
predict some ELEs, but most are neither predictable nor preventable.
Even if some
organisms survive all other extinction events, eventually the Sun will
eradicate life on Earth.
Anne
Marie Helmenstine, Ph.D.
Chemistry
Expert
Education
Ph.D.,
Biomedical Sciences, University of Tennessee at Knoxville
B.A.,
Physics and Mathematics, Hastings College
Introduction
Ph.D. in
biomedical sciences from the University of Tennessee at Knoxville - Oak Ridge
National Laboratory.
Science
educator with experience teaching chemistry, biology, astronomy, and physics at
the high school, college, and graduate levels.
ThoughtCo
and About Education chemistry expert since 2001.
Widely-published
graphic artist, responsible for printable periodic tables and other illustrations
used in science.
Experience
Anne
Helmenstine, Ph.D. has covered chemistry for ThoughtCo and About Education
since 2001, and other sciences since 2013. She taught chemistry, biology,
astronomy, and physics at the high school, college, and graduate levels. She
has worked as a research scientist and also abstracting and indexing diverse
scientific literature for the Department of Energy.
In
addition to her work as a science writer, Dr. Helmenstine currently serves as a
scientific consultant, specializing in problems requiring an interdisciplinary
approach. Previously, she worked as a research scientist and college professor.
Education
Dr.
Helmenstine holds a Ph.D. in biomedical sciences from the University of
Tennessee at Knoxville and a B.A. in physics and mathematics with a minor in
chemistry from Hastings College. In her doctoral work, Dr. Helmenstine
developed ultra-sensitive chemical detection and medical diagnostic tests.
ThoughtCo
and Dotdash
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https://www.thoughtco.com/extinction-level-events-4158931
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65 million years ago a meteor struck the Mexican Yucatan peninsula, throwing tons of dust in the air and contributing to mass extinctions. |
If a strong solar flare hit the Earth, the results could be devastating. |
A tsunami is dangerous, but the sea has more lethal tricks.
|
Global nuclear war would irradiate the planet and likely lead to either nuclear summer or nuclear winter. |
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